Briefings

All coverage

7 verified briefings on the Cuban transition. Published when a piece survives verification, not on a content calendar.

Two regulatory volumes labeled Part 515 and Part 516 beside a transparent public transition ledger

Policy Briefing

Cuba Now Has Two Sanctions Rulebooks. A Free Transition Would Need a Public Ledger

OFAC now administers two Cuba sanctions rulebooks, while the State Department's BICSA designation shows why a democratic transition would need a public sanctions ledger.

Havana Economic Review Research Desk · October 6, 2026

Six reconstruction research desks connected around a shared evidence agenda: energy, property, logistics, food, tourism and institutions

Future Cuba Blueprint

Building a Free Cuba: The Evidence a Reconstruction Network Would Need

Six research desks for a possible democratic Cuba, updated with WFP testimony on food, fuel and distribution failures and tests for future reconstruction.

Havana Economic Review Research Desk · October 1, 2026

Institutional planning desk with a map of Cuba and infrastructure reconstruction diagrams

Cuba Transition

The Transition Gap: Pressure Rises, but Cuba's Day-One Plan Is Missing

Washington is tightening sanctions as Cuban-American institutions begin planning for reconstruction. The missing piece is a credible first-year transition plan.

Havana Economic Review Research Desk · September 17, 2026

Timeline graphic: the Venezuela pressure sequence (terror designation to military posture to Maduro's capture) shown in red as completed, with Cuba's current position on the same path shown in amber and the later stages marked with a question mark. Chart: HER.

Geopolitics

The Groundwork: Reading the Rubio Report Against the Venezuela Playbook

The State Department's 100-page Cuba report announces no new action. Read against how Washington built its case before capturing Maduro, it is something more telling: the first move of a sequence Cuba's leaders have already watched play out next door.

Camilo Jaime · July 20, 2026

Development visualization: a modern high-speed ferry arriving in a revitalized Havana harbor at golden hour, El Morro fortress at right. Rendering: HER.

The Day-One File

The Day-One File No. 01: The Havana Ferry

For 47 years, you could drive your car onto a ship in Florida and drive it off in Havana. The route, the demand, and the licenses have all existed before. This file examines what the crossing looks like the day it becomes legal again.

Camilo Jaime · July 19, 2026

Chart: HER Cuba Demand Index, February 2026 = 100, rising roughly sixteen-fold to 1,586 by June 2026. Source: HER proprietary demand archive.

Signal Report

Cuba Signal Report No. 01: The Baseline of a Closed Market

First readings from our proprietary demand archive on the Cuban economy: measured interest up roughly sixteen-fold since February, maritime logistics absorbing about half of all demand, and a news gauge running warm on crisis, not yet on opening.

Camilo Jaime · July 18, 2026

Oil-painting style editorial illustration: storm waves breaking over Havana's Malecon seawall at dusk, El Morro lighthouse holding its beam in the distance. Illustration: HER.